Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 33.16% and a draw has a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).