Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Victory
Feb 14, 2026 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar
  • Charles Boniface Nduka 13' goal
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 58' yellowcard
  • Matthew Grimaldi 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolaos Vergos 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmet Shaw 70'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vrakas 71'
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 76'
  • yellowcard Justin Vidic 79'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brazete 90'+2'

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 6.00am
Wellington 2 - 3 Victory
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Samuel Klein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 28.32% and a draw has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 1-2 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 48.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 22.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Brisbane Roar 28.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.12% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 40.07% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 36.84% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 63.16% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 22.6% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 77.4% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 36.79% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 40.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Brisbane Roar 22.76% ▲ (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 54.89% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Brisbane Roar 40.59% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 63.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 25.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 51.73% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 36.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 10.5 40.28% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 59.72% ▼ (-0.19)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 50.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 49.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 25.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 74.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 34.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 33.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 13.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 86.94% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 48.91%
Draw 22.76%
Brisbane Roar 28.32%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 48.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.76%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.32%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Brisbane Roar
Nov 28, 2025 8.35am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Victory
  • Samuel Klein 3' goal
  • 30' yellowcard
  • Michael Valkanis 30' yellowcard
  • Justin Vidic 31' yellowcard
  • Michael Ruhs 60' yellowcard
  • Dean Bouzanis 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Esposito 31'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 35'
  • redcard Denis Genreau 90'+10'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Brisbane Roar
Mar 1, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Victory
  • Henry Hore 20' goal
  • Henry Hore 20' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 57' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 57' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 64' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 64' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 89' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 57'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 57'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 69'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 69'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • goal Kasey Bos 90'+7'
  • goal Kasey Bos 90'+7'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Victory
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar
  • Nishan Velupillay 38' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 38' goal
  • Jason Geria 76' goal
  • Jason Geria 76' goal
  • yellowcard Waleed Shour 28'
  • yellowcard Waleed Shour 28'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Victory
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Brisbane Roar
Mar 3, 2024 6.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Suncorp Stadium
Victory
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Victory
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 54'

Form Data

Wellington 2 - 3 Victory
Central Coast 1 - 0 Victory
Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney
Victory 0 - 0 Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast
Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Adelaide United
Perth Glory 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Melbourne City 0 - 0 Brisbane Roar