Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 57.82%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 (5.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.