Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.