Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.