Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.