Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.