Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%).