Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.