Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.75% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.