AFC Champions League
Apr 21, 2026 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Yuki Soma 12' goal
  • Sang-ho Na 59' yellowcard
  • Hokuto Shimoda 68' yellowcard
  • Shota Fujio 68' yellowcard
  • Keiya Sento 68' yellowcard
  • Henry Heroki Mochizuki 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateus Henrique 60'
  • yellowcard Mateusão 67'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Juma 67'
  • yellowcard Mersad Seifi 67'
  • yellowcard João Marcelo 83'

Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.75% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 21.5% (-0.25)
Draw 24.75% (+0.20)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 53.75% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.9% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.98% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 28.02% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 46.5% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 53.5% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 25% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 75% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 86.09% (+0.54)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 21.67% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 78.33% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 6.24% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 93.76% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 1.46% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.54% (+0.09)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 21.03% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 47.39% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 52.61% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 21.9% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 78.1% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 8.14% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 91.86% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 21.52%
Draw 24.74%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 53.75%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 7.29% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 5.39% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.39% (-0.09)
Total : 21.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.74%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0-1 @ 12.81% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 10.38% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.63% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.09)
Other @ 8.07% (-0.27)
Total : 53.75%