AFC Champions League
Mar 3, 2026 10.00am
Chuncheon Songam Stadium

Gangwon vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gangwon

All competitions

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Gangwon has a probability of 32.65% and a draw has a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Gangwon win is 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).

Result

Gangwon 32.65% (+0.04)
Draw 26.57% (-0.04)
Machida Zelvia 40.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 27.72% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 47.95% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.05% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.28% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 73.72% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.57% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.43% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Gangwon 22.99%
Draw 45.9%
Machida Zelvia 31.11%

Team To Score First

Gangwon 41.68% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.32% (-0.03)
Machida Zelvia 50% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.95%
Equal 8 12.29%
Under 8 41.76%
Over 9 34.56%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 54.05%
Over 10.5 24.84%
Under 10.5 75.16%

Gangwon Goals

Over 1.5 31.88% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.12% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.21% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.79% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.66% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.34% (-0.04)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 71.64% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.36% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.71% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.02% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.75% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.25% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Gangwon 32.66%
Draw 26.57%
Machida Zelvia 40.78%
Gangwon
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.49% (+0.04)
Total : 32.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.57%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 5.58% (+0.04)
Total : 40.78%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Nov 25, 2025 10.00am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Seung-Won Lee 27' yellowcard
  • Ho-Young Park 55' goal
  • goal Keiya Sento 24'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 28'
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 39'
  • yellowcard Yuta Nakayama 76'