AFC Champions League Gameweek 8
Feb 17, 2026 10.00am
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia vs Chengdu Rongcheng - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 12.15pm
Sh. Shenhua 0 - 2 Machida Zelvia

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 12.15pm
Chengdu 0 - 1 Buriram Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng has a probability of 29.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win is 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.57%).

Result

Machida Zelvia 45.5%
Draw 24.82% (+0.04)
Chengdu Rongcheng 29.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 27.49% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 48.58%
Under 2.5 51.42%
Over 3.5 27.1%
Under 3.5 72.9%
Over 4.5 15.56%
Under 4.5 84.44%

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 35.9%
Draw 40.38%
Chengdu Rongcheng 23.72%

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 54.44% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.81% (+0.01)
Chengdu Rongcheng 37.75%

Corners

Over 8 49.09%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 39.12%
Over 9 37.87%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 50.91%
Over 10.5 28.02%
Under 10.5 71.98%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 41.82%
Under 1.5 58.18%
Over 2.5 18.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.91%
Under 3.5 93.09%

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.73% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.18%
Under 1.5 70.82%
Over 2.5 10.69%
Under 2.5 89.31%
Over 3.5 3.29%
Under 3.5 96.71%

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 45.51%
Draw 24.83%
Chengdu Rongcheng 29.72%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 6.9%
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.83%
Chengdu Rongcheng
0-1 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 29.72%