Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.86% and a win for Gangwon had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Gangwon win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.