Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Dacia Arena

Udinese vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.30pm
Udinese 1 - 2 Shabab Al-Ahli

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45%. A win for Udinese has a probability of 29.1% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Udinese win is 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result

Udinese 29.1% (+0.41)
Draw 25.9% (+0.20)
Mainz 05 45% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 26.45% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 48.5% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 51.5% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 26.7% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.3% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 14.42% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 85.58% (+0.15)

Udinese Goals

Over 1.5 29.57% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 70.43% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 10.16% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 89.84% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.05)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 75.15% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 24.85% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 42.42% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 57.58% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 18.2% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 81.8% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 6.27% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 93.73% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Udinese 29.09%
Draw 25.91%
Mainz 05 45.01%
Udinese
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 6.98% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.72% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.64% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.69% (+0.05)
Total : 29.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.17%
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 25.91%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 10.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.18)
Total : 45.01%