Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026 4.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Estéban Lepaul 5' goal
  • Valentin Rongier   26' goal
  • Issa Soumaré 48' yellowcard
  • Estéban Lepaul 90'+6' goal
  • Estéban Lepaul 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Mafouta 30'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 54'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lauray 66'
  • redcard Djibril Sidibé 68'
  • yellowcard Harold Voyer 90'+12'

Rennes vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 7.45pm
Rennes 2 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Estéban Lepaul

Le Mans

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Le Mans had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Le Mans win was 0-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Rennes 43.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Le Mans 30.55% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.08% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 25.92% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 50.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 49.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 29.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 70.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 16.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.2% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Rennes 28.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Le Mans 30.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Rennes 44.19% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Le Mans 47.8% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.28% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 9 45.68% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 42.72% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 10.5 34.86% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 10.5 65.14% ▼ (-0.29)

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 41.63% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 58.37% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 18.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 6.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.73% ▼ (-0.05)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 63.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rennes 43.15%
Draw 26.3%
Le Mans 30.55%
Rennes
1-0 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 43.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.3%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 30.55%