Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions

Brest

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Brest 1 - 1 Angers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw has a probability of 26.82% and a win for Brest has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Brest win it is 0-1 (8.25%).

Result

Le Mans 49.18% (-0.25)
Draw 26.82% (+0.04)
Brest 23.96% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.84% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.5% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.5% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.71% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.29% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.94%
Under 3.5 77.06%
Over 4.5 12.41% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.59% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 38.58%
Draw 42.21%
Brest 19.21%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 58.2%
No Goal 9.24%
Brest 32.56%

Corners

Over 8 56.55%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 32.03%
Over 9 45.06%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 43.45%
Over 10.5 34.41%
Under 10.5 65.59%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 43.04% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 56.96% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 18.39% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.61% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.8% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.2% (+0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 56.69% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 43.31% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 22.89% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 77.11% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 7.17% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.76% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.24% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Le Mans 49.18%
Draw 26.82%
Brest 23.96%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 6.61% (-0.05)
Total : 49.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 26.82%
Brest
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.83% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.57% (+0.04)
Total : 23.96%