Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.00pm
Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Alphadjo Cissè

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Lecce 3 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lassana Coulibaly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw has a probability of 23.59% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Lecce win it is 0-1 (6.53%).

Result

AC Milan 55.63% (-1.93)
Draw 23.59% (+0.04)
Lecce 20.74% (+1.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.89% (+2.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% (+1.61)
Under 1.5 25.59% (-1.61)
Over 2.5 49.89% (+1.96)
Under 2.5 50.11% (-1.96)
Over 3.5 27.84% (+2.27)
Under 3.5 72.16% (-2.28)
Over 4.5 16.08% (+1.40)
Under 4.5 83.92% (-1.40)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 40.66% (+0.54)
Draw 40.56% (-2.90)
Lecce 18.77% (+2.35)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 60.34% (+1.19)
No Goal 7.05% (-0.49)
Lecce 32.61% (-0.71)

Corners

Over 8 62.45% (+9.31)
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.05)
Under 8 25.79% (-9.26)
Over 9 49.92% (+8.36)
Equal 9 12.53% (+0.94)
Under 9 37.54% (-9.32)
Over 10.5 37.84% (+6.75)
Under 10.5 62.16% (-6.75)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 50.43% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 49.57% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 24.13% (+0.51)
Under 2.5 75.87% (-0.51)
Over 3.5 9.39% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 90.61% (-0.33)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 55.78% (+2.36)
Under 0.5 44.22% (-2.36)
Over 1.5 22.35% (+2.43)
Under 1.5 77.65% (-2.42)
Over 2.5 6.44% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 93.56% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 1.58% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 98.42% (-0.46)

Score analysis

AC Milan 55.63%
Draw 23.6%
Lecce 20.74%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.98% (-1.41)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.54)
2-1 @ 10.05% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.54% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.24)
Other @ 9.38% (+0.34)
Total : 55.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.47)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.6%
Lecce
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 5.41% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.05% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 1.67% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.27)
Other @ 1.57% (+0.46)
Total : 20.74%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Niclas Fullkrug 73' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 73' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 73' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 76' goal
  • Niclas Füllkrug 76' goal
  • Zachary Athekame 80' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 87' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 87' yellowcard
  • Luka Modrić 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 54'
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 69'
  • yellowcard Konan N'dri 84'
  • yellowcard Konan N’Dri 84'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 85'
  • yellowcard Konan N'dri 85'
Coppa Italia
Sep 23, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 7' goal
  • Medon Berisha 42' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 59' goal
  • Nikola Krstovic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 45'+4'
  • goal Antonino Gallo 68' (OG)
  • goal Christian Pulisic 73'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 81'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 88'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Alvaro Morata 38' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 41' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 43' goal
  • Emerson 49' yellowcard
  • Davide Bartesaghi 80' redcard
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 34'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Christian Pulisic 6' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 20' goal
  • Rafael Leao 57' goal
  • Samuel Chukwueze 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 34'
  • redcard Nikola Krstovic 45'