/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
-
Christian Pulisic
14'
-
Adrien Rabiot
61'
-
Diego Moreira
73'
-
Danilo Veiga
58'
AC Milan vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.75% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
23.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Lecce
20.75%
Both Teams to Score:
50.57%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
25.84%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
49.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
50.48%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
27.34%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
72.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
15.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
84.28%
▲
(+0.07)
First Half Winner
AC Milan
40.55%
Draw
40.67%
Lecce
18.78%
Team To Score First
AC Milan
60.2%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
7.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Lecce
32.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
62.25%
Equal 8
11.83%
Under 8
25.92%
Over 9
49.66%
Equal 9
12.59%
Under 9
37.75%
Over 10.5
37.53%
Under 10.5
62.47%
AC Milan Goals
Over 1.5
50.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
49.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
23.82%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
76.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
9.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
90.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
55.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
44.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
22.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
77.81%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
6.32%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
93.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
1.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
98.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
23.76%
Lecce
20.76%
AC Milan
1-0
@
12.07%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.5%
2-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.5%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.76%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.76%
Lecce
0-1
@
6.58%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.76%
Head to Head
-
Niclas Fullkrug
73'
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
73'
-
Niclas Füllkrug
73'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
76'
-
Niclas Füllkrug
76'
-
Zachary Athekame
80'
-
Luka Modric
87'
-
Christopher Nkunku
87'
-
Luka Modrić
87'
-
Lameck Banda
54'
-
Tete Morente
69'
-
Konan N'dri
84'
-
Konan N’Dri
84'
-
Youssef Maleh
85'
-
Konan N'dri
85'
