Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Lassana Coulibaly 3' goal
  • Tiago Gabriel 10' goal
  • Lassana Coulibaly 21' goal
  • Konan N’Dri 38' yellowcard
  • Danilo Veiga 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Mangas 20'
  • goal Exequiel Zeballos 89'

Lecce vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 5.30pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lassana Coulibaly

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Parma 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 30.5% ▼ (-2.33)
Draw 27.79% ▲ (+0.92)
Monza 41.65% ▲ (+1.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% ▼ (-1.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.6% ▼ (-2.11)
Under 1.5 27.4% ▲ (+2.11)
Over 2.5 48.13% ▼ (-2.76)
Under 2.5 51.87% ▲ (+2.76)
Over 3.5 27.6% ▼ (-2.40)
Under 3.5 72.4% ▲ (+2.41)
Over 4.5 15.11% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 4.5 84.89% ▲ (+1.93)

First Half Winner

Lecce 22.35% ▼ (-1.04)
Draw 44.69% ▲ (+0.36)
Monza 32.96% ▲ (+0.68)

Team To Score First

Lecce 37.8% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 8.68% ▲ (+0.96)
Monza 53.52% ▼ (-0.68)

Corners

Over 8 51.77% ▲ (+1.91)
Equal 8 12.61% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 35.61% ▼ (-2.01)
Over 9 39.52% ▲ (+1.65)
Equal 9 12.26% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 9 48.23% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 10.5 28.65% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 10.5 71.35% ▼ (-1.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 31.6% ▼ (-3.11)
Under 1.5 68.4% ▲ (+3.11)
Over 2.5 11.57% ▼ (-2.29)
Under 2.5 88.43% ▲ (+2.30)
Over 3.5 3.57% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 3.5 96.43% ▲ (+1.09)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 72.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.36% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 40.44% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 59.56% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 16.92% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 83.08% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.05% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.95% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Lecce 30.51%
Draw 27.77%
Monza 41.64%
Lecce
1-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.33% ▼ (-1.04)
Total : 30.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.96)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 27.77%
Monza
0-1 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.84)
1-2 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 41.64%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Armando Izzo 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pereira 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 37'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 74'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Tete Morente 3' goal
  • Hamza Rafia 28' yellowcard
  • Marco Giampaolo 30' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 44' goal
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kiriakopoulos 20'
  • goal Patrick Dorgu 37' (OG)
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 40'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bianco 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Pereira 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Remi Oudin 25' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 70' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Colombo 15'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 70'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 77'
  • goal Matteo Pessina 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Luca Caldirola 2' yellowcard
  • Pablo Mari 19' yellowcard
  • Andrea Colpani 24' goal
  • Samuele Birindelli 61' yellowcard
  • Patrick Ciurria 76' yellowcard
  • Luca Caldirola 85' redcard
  • Pedro Pereira 87' yellowcard
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 3'
  • yellowcard Hamza Rafia 45'+2'
  • redcard Federico Baschirotto 55'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 90'+11'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Joan Gonzalez 48' goal
  • goal Stefano Sensi 35'