Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Monza

Gabbia (64'), Felix (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bianco (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-1 AC Milan
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-3 Empoli
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Monza
65.41% ( -0.06)	19.44% ( 0.02)	15.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0.04)

40.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0.04)

62.49% (

0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

-0.03)

11.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.65% (

-0.06)

36.35% (

0.06)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.79% (

0.02)

39.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.08% (

0.01)

75.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 65.4%

Monza 15.15%

Draw 19.44%

AC Milan	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 65.4%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.44%	1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 15.15%