Serie A Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Matteo Gabbia 64' goal
  • Joao Felix 74' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bianco 51'

AC Milan vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Roma 3 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Monza

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Monza 1 - 3 Empoli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Dany Mota

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result

AC Milan 65.41% (-0.06)
Draw 19.44% (+0.03)
Monza 15.15% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.8% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.88% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 40.12% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 37.51% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 62.49% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.18% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.82% (+0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.51% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 11.49% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 63.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 36.35% (+0.06)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 60.79% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.21% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 65.4%
Draw 19.44%
Monza 15.15%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 65.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.44%
Monza
1-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 15.15%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 1 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Dany Mota 7' goal
  • Milan Djuric 53' yellowcard
  • Warren Bondo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 43'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 47'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Milan Djuric 33' yellowcard
  • Matteo Pessina 45' goal
  • Raffaele Palladino 50' yellowcard
  • Dany Mota 45'+6' goal
  • Matteo Pessina 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Dany Mota 76' yellowcard
  • Warren Bondo 76' yellowcard
  • Warren Bondo 90' goal
  • Lorenzo Colombo 90'+5' goal
  • redcard Luka Jovic 52'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 64'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 83'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 11.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 3' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 34' yellowcard
  • Jan-Carlo Simic 41' goal
  • Noah Okafor 76' goal
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 55'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Junior Messias 31'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Brahim Diaz 16' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 41' goal
  • Divock Origi 65' goal
  • Rafael Leao 84' goal
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 70'