Serie A Gameweek 36
AC Milan
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 67' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 73' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 79' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jhon Lucumi 37'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 49'
  • yellowcard Santiago Castro 90'+1'

AC Milan vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Juventus
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 40.09% ▼ (-0.67)
Draw 25.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Bologna 34.51% ▲ (+0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06% ▲ (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.28% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 47.72% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 30.08% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 69.91% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 14.73% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 4.5 85.27% ▼ (-0.35)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 76.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 23.57% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 42.36% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 57.64% ▲ (+0.15)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 0.5 26.64% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 38.11% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 1.5 61.88% ▼ (-0.94)

Score analysis

AC Milan 40.09%
Draw 25.39%
Bologna 34.51%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 40.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
Bologna
0-1 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.51%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 9
Bologna
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Santiago Castro 48' goal
  • Nicolo Casale 53' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 82' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 43'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 54'
Serie A Gameweek 22
AC Milan
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Rafael Leao 22' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 36' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 44' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 83' goal
  • Filippo Terracciano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 2'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 29'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 39'
  • redcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 57'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Bologna
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Michel Aebischer 30' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 77' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 11'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 21'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Bologna
Apr 15, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Nicola Sansone 1' goal
  • goal Tommaso Pobega 40'
Serie A Gameweek 3
AC Milan
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Rafael Leao 21' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 58' goal
  • Davide Calabria 66' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 56'
Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 41'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 90'+8'

Form Data

Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Venezia 0 - 2 AC Milan
Inter Milan 0 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Atalanta
Udinese 0 - 4 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Bologna 1 - 1 Juventus
Udinese 0 - 0 Bologna
Bologna 2 - 1 Empoli
Bologna 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Atalanta 2 - 0 Bologna
Bologna 1 - 1 Napoli