Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 1
Bologna

Gimenez (73', 90+2'), Pulisic (79')
Loftus-Cheek (60'), Felix (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsolini (49')
Lucumi (37'), Castro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
40.09% ( -0.66)	25.4% ( -0.09)	34.51% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28% (

0.54)

47.72% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

0.5)

69.91% (

-0.5)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.09)

23.57% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.14)

57.64% (

0.14)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

0.72)

26.64% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

0.94)

61.88% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 40.09%

Bologna 34.51%

Draw 25.39%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.51%