Serie A Gameweek 37
Roma
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Gianluca Mancini 3' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 25' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 45' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 58' goal
  • Zeki Celik 61' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 87' goal
  • redcard Santiago Gimenez 21'
  • goal Joao Felix 39'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 62'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
  • redcard Sergio Conceicao 90'+3'

Roma vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2025 7.45pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 46.28% ▲ (+0.55)
Draw 24.83% ▲ (+0.02)
AC Milan 28.89% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55% ▼ (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.69% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 47.31% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 69.53% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 85% ▲ (+0.23)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 47.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 52.99% ▼ (-0.16)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 0.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 33.73% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 66.27% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Roma 46.28%
Draw 24.83%
AC Milan 28.89%
Roma
1-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.83%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Tammy Abraham 17' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 43' goal
  • Joao Felix 70' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 55'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 70'
Serie A Gameweek 18
AC Milan
Dec 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Tijjani Reijnders 16' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 40' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' redcard
  • Theo Hernandez 43' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 44' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 13'
  • goal Paulo Dybala 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 67'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 71'
Club Friendlies 1
Roma
May 31, 2024 12.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Optus Stadium
AC Milan
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 28' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 45'+2' goal
  • Angelino 54' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 57' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 77' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 37'
  • goal Noah Okafor 55'
Europa League
Roma
Apr 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Gianluca Mancini 12' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 22' goal
  • Zeki Celik 31' redcard
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 32'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 46'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 51'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 77'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 85'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+2'
Europa League
AC Milan
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Stefano Pioli 17' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 33' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 63' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 73' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Mancini 17'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 38'
Serie A Gameweek 20
AC Milan
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Yacine Adli 11' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 56' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 71' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 84' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 43'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 56'
  • goal Leandro Paredes 69'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 81'

Form Data

Atalanta 2 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Inter Milan 0 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Lazio 1 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 1 Juventus
AC Milan 0 - 1 Bologna
AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna
Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Venezia 0 - 2 AC Milan
Inter Milan 0 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Atalanta