Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

Lookman (9'), Sulemana (76')
Djimsiti (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cristante (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Roma had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
53.46% ( 0.52)	23.99% ( -0.2)	22.55% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

0.51)

48.87% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

0.46)

70.96% (

-0.46)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

0.39)

18.21% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77% (

0.66)

49.23% (

-0.66)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.83% (

-0.01)

36.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

-0.01)

72.95% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 53.45%

Roma 22.55%

Draw 23.99%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.55%