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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernede (12'), Valentini (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Roma
Sunday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)19.83% (0.010000000000002 0.01)11.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.22% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05)50.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)72.08% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.55% (0.062999999999999 0.06)85.45% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.68%
    Hellas Verona 11.48%
    Draw 19.83%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 13.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 68.68%
1-1 @ 9.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 11.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Hellas Verona
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 11
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Tengstedt (13'), Magnani (34'), Harroui (88')
Svilar (47'), Zanetti (74'), Magnani (80')
Rocha (90+5')
Soule (28'), Dovbyk (53')
Suslov (47'), Kone (79')
Jan 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-1
Hellas Verona
Lukaku (19'), Pellegrini (25')
Paredes (41'), Llorente (56')
Folorunsho (76')
Dawidowicz (52'), Folorunsho (56')
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
2-1
Roma
Duda (4'), Ngonge (45+3')
Dawidowicz (64'), Baroni (70')
Hien (84')
Aouar (56')
Dybala (13'), Aouar (62'), Pellegrini (68')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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