Serie A Gameweek 35
Roma
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina
  • Artem Dovbyk 45'+5' goal
  • Matias Soule 89' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 64'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 85'

Roma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
Inter Milan 0 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result

Roma 52.24% ▲ (+0.67)
Draw 24.68% ▼ (-0.16)
Fiorentina 23.08% ▼ (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.77% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 51.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 12.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 80.47% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 19.53% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 1.5 48.57% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 51.43% ▼ (-0.52)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 63.1% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 36.9% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 26.31% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 73.69% ▲ (+0.41)

Score analysis

Roma 52.24%
Draw 24.67%
Fiorentina 23.08%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.77% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.67%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.08%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma
  • Moise Kean 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 17' goal
  • Moise Kean 41' goal
  • Edoardo Bove 52' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 61' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 71' goal
  • Moise Kean 74' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 75' yellowcard
  • goal Kouadio Kone 39'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 42'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 50'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 57'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 60'
  • redcard Mario Hermoso 65'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma
  • Luca Ranieri 18' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 57' yellowcard
  • Nikola Milenkovic 64' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 69' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 6'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 37'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 45'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 58'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 68'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 75'
  • goal Diego Llorente 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Roma
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina
  • Romelu Lukaku 5' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 37' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 41' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 64' redcard
  • Leandro Paredes 80' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 87' redcard
  • Diego Llorente 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 64'
  • goal Lucas Martinez 66'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 75'
  • yellowcard Alfred Duncan 86'
  • redcard Nikola Milenkovic 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
May 27, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma
  • Luka Jovic 85' goal
  • Jonathan Ikone 88' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 11'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Roma
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina
  • Paulo Dybala 40' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 82' goal
Serie A Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Roma
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 5' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 11' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 19' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 28' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 24'

Form Data

Inter Milan 0 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Lazio 1 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 1 Juventus
Lecce 0 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari
Betis 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Empoli
Cagliari 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Celje
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma
Celje 1 - 2 Fiorentina