UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 1
Fiorentina

(Real Betis win 4-3 on aggregate)

Ezzalzouli (6'), Antony (64')
Bakambu (6'), Perraud (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ranieri (72')
Parisi (64'), Folorunsho (73'), Adli (84'), Mandragora (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Betis 5-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Fiorentina
46.31% ( 0.45)	25.7% ( -0.14)	27.99% ( -0.31)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Real Betis	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.99%