UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 1
Fiorentina

(Real Betis win 4-3 on aggregate)

Ezzalzouli (6'), Antony (64')
Bakambu (6'), Perraud (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ranieri (72')
Parisi (64'), Folorunsho (73'), Adli (84'), Mandragora (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Betis 5-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Fiorentina
46.31% ( 0.45)	25.7% ( -0.14)	27.99% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.38)

51.47% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.33)

73.28% (

-0.33)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

0.36)

22.21% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

0.55)

55.63% (

-0.55)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-0.04)

32.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-0.04)

69.53% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Betis 46.31%

Fiorentina 27.99%

Draw 25.7%

Real Betis	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.99%