Real Betis logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Fiorentina logo

Betis
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Ezzalzouli (6'), Antony (64')
Bakambu (6'), Perraud (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ranieri (72')
Parisi (64'), Folorunsho (73'), Adli (84'), Mandragora (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawFiorentina
46.31% (0.44900000000001 0.45)25.7% (-0.138 -0.14)27.99% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.15% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (0.378 0.38)51.47% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.328 0.33)73.28% (-0.328 -0.33)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.36399999999999 0.36)22.21% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.545 0.55)55.63% (-0.545 -0.55)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)32.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.044 -0.04)69.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 46.31%
    Fiorentina 27.99%
    Draw 25.7%
Real BetisDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Betis vs Fiorentina

Real Betis
64.5%
Draw
20.7%
Fiorentina
14.9%
121
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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