Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 9.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.