La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
2 - 3
Osasuna

Moro (49'), Sylla (66' pen.)
Sanchez (79'), Aznou Ben Cheikh (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Budimir (9', 60' pen.), Garcia (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Valladolid
Monday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Girona
Sunday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Osasuna
31.12% ( -0.15)	26.92% ( -0.01)	41.96% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.12% (

-0.01)

54.88% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.83% (

-0)

76.17% (

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

-0.11)

32.41% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

-0.12)

68.93% (

0.12)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

0.08)

25.83% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

0.11)

60.79% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 31.12%

Osasuna 41.96%

Draw 26.91%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.12%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.96%