Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
| 41.85% ( | 26.29% ( | 31.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( | 52.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( | 73.89% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( | 24.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( | 59.18% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.86% |