Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.