Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Final
May 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Bologna


Tomori (38'), Pulisic (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ndoye (53')
Ferguson (43'), Fabbian (57'), Lucumi (74')

The Match

Match Report

Bologna end a 51-year wait for a major trophy by defeating AC Milan 1-0 to lift the Coppa Italia trophy, with Dan Ndoye etching his name into Rossoblu history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia final between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
42.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)57.66%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.26% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.08%
    Bologna 32.12%
    Draw 25.79%
AC MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.12%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
78.2%
Draw
12.8%
Bologna
9.0%
133
Head to Head
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
3-1
Bologna
Gimenez (73', 90+2'), Pulisic (79')
Loftus-Cheek (60'), Felix (67')
Orsolini (49')
Lucumi (37'), Castro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-1
AC Milan
Castro (48'), Ndoye (82')
Casale (53')
Leao (43')
Hernandez (47'), Thiaw (54')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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