Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 3
Empoli

Birindelli (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Colombo (49'), Viti (51'), Pizzignacco (59' og.)
Ismajli (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Monza
Sunday, May 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Empoli
33.35% ( 0.16)	26.73% ( 0.04)	39.92% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-0.14)

53.56% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93% (

-0.12)

75.07% (

0.12)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

0.04)

30.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.04)

66.38% (

-0.04)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

-0.18)

26.31% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

-0.24)

61.43% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Monza 33.35%

Empoli 39.91%

Draw 26.72%

Monza	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.91%