/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
-
Samuele Birindelli
30'
-
Lorenzo Colombo
49'
-
Mattia Viti
51'
-
Semuel Pizzignacco
59'
(OG)
-
Ardian Ismajli
87'
Monza vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result
Monza
33.35%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
26.73%
▲
(+0.05)
Empoli
39.92%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
51.42%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.43%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
53.56%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
24.93%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
75.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
11.31%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
88.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
69.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
30.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
33.61%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
66.38%
▼
(-0.05)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
73.69%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
26.31%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
38.56%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
61.43%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Monza
33.35%
Draw
26.72%
Empoli
39.91%
Monza
1-0
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.35%
2-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.35%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.72%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.72%
Empoli
0-1
@
10.61%
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.91%
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.91%
Jacopo Furlan
51'