Coppa Italia
Monza
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT U-Power Stadium
Avellino
  • Gustavo Varela 23' goal
  • Gustavo Varela 45'+1' goal
  • Omari Forson 51' goal
  • yellowcard Brando Moruzzi 47'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Sounas 90'+1'

Monza vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Avellino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Monza 52.41%
Draw 26.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Avellino 21.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 50.95%
Under 2.5 49.05%
Over 3.5 28.43%
Under 3.5 71.57%
Over 4.5 16.46%
Under 4.5 83.54%

First Half Winner

Monza 41.11%
Draw 42.16%
Avellino 16.74%

Team To Score First

Monza 62.24% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Avellino 29.81%

Corners

Over 8 53.93%
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 33.61%
Over 9 41.59%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 46.07%
Over 10.5 30.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 49.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 23.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.42%
Under 3.5 90.58%

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 57.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 7.84%
Under 2.5 92.16%
Over 3.5 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Monza 52.42%
Draw 26.24%
Avellino 21.35%
Monza
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 10.03%
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 8.98%
Total : 52.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.24%
Avellino
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.35%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 23
Monza
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
Avellino
  • Giuseppe Caso 60' yellowcard
  • Patrick Cutrone 60' yellowcard
  • Patrick Ciurria 68' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Colombo 75' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 75' yellowcard
  • Patrick Cutrone 78' goal
  • Matteo Pessina 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tommaso Biasci 52'
  • yellowcard Marco Armellino 64'
  • yellowcard Gennaro Tutino 65'
  • yellowcard Luca Pandolfi 81'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Cancellotti 81'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 87'
Serie B
Avellino
Sep 12, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Monza

Form Data

Monza 3 - 3 Calcio Padova
Monza 0 - 0 Milan II
Monza 1 - 3 Aris
Galatasaray 0 - 2 Monza
Monza 4 - 3 Pro Vercelli
Monza 0 - 2 Catanzaro
Avellino 1 - 1 Torino
Lazio 6 - 3 Avellino
Avellino 0 - 0 Real Forio
Sambenedettese 0 - 5 Avellino
Avellino 3 - 1 Scafatese
Avellino 24 - 0 ASD Castel di Sangro