Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.