Serie B Gameweek 38
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 3 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Avellino
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw has a probability of 21.69% and a win for Empoli has a probability of 14.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.3%) , while for a Empoli win it is 0-1 (5.02%).

Result

Monza 64.19%
Draw 21.69%
Empoli 14.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.2%
Under 2.5 49.8%
Over 3.5 27.15% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.85% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.8% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.2% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Monza 42.65%
Draw 41.25%
Empoli 16.1%

Team To Score First

Monza 64.67%
No Goal 6.84%
Empoli 28.49%

Corners

Over 8 62.09%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 26.85%
Over 9 50.43%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 37.91%
Over 10.5 39.16%
Under 10.5 60.84%

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 56.23%
Under 1.5 43.77%
Over 2.5 28.81% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 71.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.12%
Under 3.5 87.88%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 47.48% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 52.52% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 16.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.79% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Monza 64.2%
Draw 21.7%
Empoli 14.13%
Monza
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 12.42% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 7.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.99%
Total : 64.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.7%
Empoli
0-1 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66% (+0.02)
Total : 14.13%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 1, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Samuele Birindelli 30' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 49'
  • goal Mattia Viti 51'
  • goal Semuel Pizzignacco 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ardian Ismajli 87'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Luca Caldirola 67' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Fazzini 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 48'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Szymon Zurkowski 13' goal
  • Szymon Zurkowski 38' goal
  • Bartosz Bereszynski 49' yellowcard
  • Szymon Zurkowski 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Caldirola 70'
  • yellowcard Dany Mota 72'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Armando Izzo 8' yellowcard
  • Andrea Colpani 45' goal
  • Andrea Colpani 53' goal
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 1'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Haas 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Patrick Ciurria 19' goal
  • Armando Izzo 67' goal
  • goal Martin Satriano 51'