Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.34% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.