Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.