Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.36% and a win for Bari had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%) , while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.