Serie B
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Francesco Di Mariano 13' goal
  • Kevin Varas 63' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Caprari 69' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 82' yellowcard
  • Luca Di Maggio 82' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Piscopo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Giacomo De Pieri 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Daouda Traore 78'
  • yellowcard Tomás Esteves 78'
  • yellowcard Daouda Traore 78'
  • yellowcard Marvin Cuni 78'

Calcio Padova vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
Sampdoria 1 - 0 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 1 - 2 Sudtirol
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Calcio Padova 39.39% (+0.07)
Draw 29.47%
Bari 31.14% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.93% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 34.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.83% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 80.17% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.71% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 90.29% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 31.99%
Draw 46.81%
Bari 21.2%

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 51.08%
No Goal 10.58%
Bari 38.34%

Corners

Over 8 55.78%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 32.33%
Over 9 43.85%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 44.22%
Over 10.5 32.89%
Under 10.5 67.11%

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 33.84% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 66.16% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.99% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 88.01% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.46% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.54% (-0.02)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 63.48% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.52% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.32% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.24%
Under 3.5 97.76%

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 39.4%
Draw 29.47%
Bari 31.14%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 8.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35% (+0.03)
Total : 39.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 29.47%
Bari
0-1 @ 10.87% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.14%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 4, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Jul 31, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ruben Botta 8' goal
  • Walid Cheddira 15' goal
  • 18' yellowcard
  • Walid Cheddira 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard 53'