Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Calcio Padova vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
Sampdoria 1 - 0 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 1 - 2 Sudtirol
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Bari has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 29.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bari win is 0-1 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.34%).

Result

Calcio Padova 39.33% (+0.04)
Draw 29.47%
Bari 31.2% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.89% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 34.11% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40%
Under 2.5 60%
Over 3.5 19.79%
Under 3.5 80.21% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.68%
Under 4.5 90.32%

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 31.99%
Draw 46.81%
Bari 21.2%

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 51.08%
No Goal 10.58%
Bari 38.34%

Corners

Over 8 55.78%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 32.33%
Over 9 43.85%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 44.22%
Over 10.5 32.89%
Under 10.5 67.11%

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 33.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.44%
Under 3.5 96.56%

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 63.52%
Under 0.5 36.48%
Over 1.5 27.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.29% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.24%
Under 3.5 97.76%

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 39.32%
Draw 29.47%
Bari 31.21%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 39.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 29.47%
Bari
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.21%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 4, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Jul 31, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ruben Botta 8' goal
  • Walid Cheddira 15' goal
  • 18' yellowcard
  • Walid Cheddira 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard 53'