Serie B
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Silvio Merkaj 27' goal
  • Emanuele Pecorino 38' goal
  • Simone Davi 65' yellowcard
  • Marco Frigerio 65' yellowcard
  • Domen Črnigoj 76' yellowcard
  • Raphael Odogwu 76' yellowcard
  • Federico Davi 86' yellowcard
  • Daniele Casiraghi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Silva 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Buonaiuto 61'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Seghetti 61'
  • yellowcard Daniele Baselli 77'

Sudtirol vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Sudtirol
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Raphael Odogwu

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 0 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Carlo Faedo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Sudtirol has a probability of 35.22% and a draw has a probability of 28.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Sudtirol win is 1-0 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Sudtirol 35.22% (-0.06)
Draw 28.39% (-0.06)
Calcio Padova 36.4% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.3% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.7% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.95% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 56.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 22.98%
Under 3.5 77.02%
Over 4.5 11.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Sudtirol 28.36% (+0.49)
Draw 46.87% (-0.13)
Calcio Padova 24.78% (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Sudtirol 45.13% (+0.18)
No Goal 9.27%
Calcio Padova 45.6% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 57.06% (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.36% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.58% (-0.61)
Over 9 45.55% (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.94% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 34.83% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 65.17% (-0.49)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 1.5 32.28% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.72% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.29% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.71% (+0.01)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 68.6% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.4% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 33.74% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 66.26% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 12.31% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.69% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sudtirol 35.22%
Draw 28.4%
Calcio Padova 36.4%
Sudtirol
1-0 @ 10.74% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.19% (-0.03)
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 28.4%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.03% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.32% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 36.4%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 1, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT