Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.