Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Avellino 0 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Sudtirol
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Pietro Pellegri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrarese win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 27.97% and a draw has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Empoli win is 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Carrarese 45.64% (-0.30)
Draw 26.42% (-0.01)
Empoli 27.97% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.32% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 26.68% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 49.58% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 50.42% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 28.72% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 71.28% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 16.51% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 83.49% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 30.5% (-0.08)
Draw 49.45% (+0.04)
Empoli 20.05% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carrarese 55.08% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.72% (-0.07)
Empoli 37.2% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.81% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 29.96% (+0.04)
Over 9 47.26% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 41.19% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.38% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 63.62% (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 42.92% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 57.08% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 19.09% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 80.91% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 6.98% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 93.02% (-0.24)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 63.09% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 36.91% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 29.72% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 70.28% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 11.01% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 88.99% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 3.49% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 96.51% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Carrarese 45.64%
Draw 26.42%
Empoli 27.98%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.83% (+0.20)
Total : 45.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.04)
Total : 26.42%
Empoli
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34% (+0.30)
Total : 27.98%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT