Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.