Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 28' goal
  • Julián Illanes 28' goal
  • Simone Zanon 62' goal
  • Manuel Cicconi 64' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 64' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Andrea Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 76' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 80' yellowcard
  • Filippo Melegoni 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Ignacchiti 46'
  • yellowcard Tyronne Ebuehi 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degl'Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degli Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Popov 78'

Carrarese vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Avellino 0 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Sudtirol
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gabriele Guarino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 45.46%
Draw 26.17%
Empoli 28.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.45% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.81%
Under 2.5 50.19%
Over 3.5 29.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.75% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.25% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 32.69%
Draw 47.32%
Empoli 19.99%

Team To Score First

Carrarese 54.41% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.55% (+0.01)
Empoli 38.04%

Corners

Over 8 59.2%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 29.42%
Over 9 47.47%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 40.8%
Over 10.5 36.38%
Under 10.5 63.62%

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 42.88%
Under 1.5 57.12%
Over 2.5 19.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.98% (+0.02)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 63.24% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.76% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.16%
Under 1.5 69.84%
Over 2.5 11.34%
Under 2.5 88.66%
Over 3.5 3.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Carrarese 45.46%
Draw 26.18%
Empoli 28.37%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.89% (-0.02)
Total : 45.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.18%
Empoli
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.44% (-0.02)
Total : 28.37%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT