Serie B
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Matteo Luigi Brunori 34' yellowcard
  • Luigi Cherubini 41' yellowcard
  • Francesco Conti 64' yellowcard
  • Simone Pafundi 79' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Soleri 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Buonaiuto 53'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Silva 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Pastina 54'
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Mariano 70'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Caprari 76'

Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 6.00pm
Sampdoria 3 - 3 Palermo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tjas Begic

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Calcio Padova has a probability of 29.06% and a draw has a probability of 28.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win is 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result

Sampdoria 42.68% (+0.03)
Draw 28.29% (+0.06)
Calcio Padova 29.06% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.23% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.36% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.64% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.71% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 60.29% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 19.42% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 80.58% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.46% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.54% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Sampdoria 28.41% (+0.06)
Draw 49.12%
Calcio Padova 22.46% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Sampdoria 49.38% (+0.18)
No Goal 10.21% (-0.01)
Calcio Padova 40.41% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 53.91% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.12%
Over 9 42.07% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.09% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 31.33% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 68.67% (+0.05)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 1.5 35.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.36% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.7% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.3% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.76%
Under 3.5 96.24%

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.5% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.48% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.48%
Under 2.5 92.52%
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Score analysis

Sampdoria 42.68%
Draw 28.29%
Calcio Padova 29.06%
Sampdoria
1-0 @ 13.26% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 42.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.29%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 29.06%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pietro Fusi 35' yellowcard
  • Pietro Fusi 65' goal
  • Papu 67' yellowcard
  • goal Massimo Coda 19'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 24'
  • yellowcard Francesco Conti 30'
  • yellowcard 30'