Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.84%. A draw had a probability of 30.92% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.