Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 4.15pm
Pescara 0 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Federico Artioli

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
Bari 0 - 3 Palermo
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Giulio Maggiore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bari win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Mantova has a probability of 35.86% and a draw has a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Mantova win is 1-0 (11.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Mantova 35.86% (-0.07)
Draw 27.56% (+0.06)
Bari 36.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.32% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 30.68% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 43.79% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 56.21% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 23.12% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 76.88% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 11.57% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 88.43% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Mantova 29.25% (+0.04)
Draw 46.05%
Bari 24.7% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Mantova 48.76% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.85% (+0.09)
Bari 42.39% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.44% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.53% (-0.08)
Over 9 44.31% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.13% (+0.03)
Under 9 43.56% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 33.14% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 66.86% (-0.04)

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 33.03% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 66.97% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.2% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.8% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.62% (+0.05)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.73% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.87% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 66.13% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.83% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.17% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.51% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.49% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Mantova 35.87%
Draw 27.58%
Bari 36.57%
Mantova
1-0 @ 11.11% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.37% (-0.05)
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.85% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.58%
Bari
0-1 @ 10.74% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.5% (-0.07)
Total : 36.57%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 26, 2025 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Nicolo Radaelli 16' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Brignani 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Trimboli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nosa Edward Obaretin 55'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 70'
  • yellowcard Valerio Mantovani 75'
  • yellowcard Mattia Maita 83'
Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Nunzio Lella 30' yellowcard
  • Nunzio Lella 31' goal
  • Raffaele Pucino 33' yellowcard
  • Francesco Vicari 36' yellowcard
  • Valerio Mantovani 89' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Solini 42'
  • yellowcard Francesco Galuppini 45'
  • redcard Simone Trimboli 81'