Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cesena 0 - 0 Bari
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Giulio Maggiore

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.15pm
Modena 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 42.7%. A draw has a probability of 30.18% and a win for Bari has a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Bari win it is 1-0 (11.02%).

Result

Bari 27.09% (-0.08)
Draw 30.18% (+0.04)
Palermo 42.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.73% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.91% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 38.09% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 35.28% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.72% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 16.51% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 83.49% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 7.5% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.5% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bari 20.51%
Draw 46.57%
Palermo 32.92%

Team To Score First

Bari 34.53% (-0.02)
No Goal 12.75% (+0.06)
Palermo 52.72% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.96%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 32.28%
Over 9 44.13%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 44.04%
Over 10.5 33.24%
Under 10.5 66.76%

Bari Goals

Over 1.5 21.9% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.22% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.22% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.78% (+0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.31% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.01% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.28% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bari 27.1%
Draw 30.18%
Palermo 42.7%
Bari
1-0 @ 11.02% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Total : 27.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.75% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.18%
Palermo
0-1 @ 14.3% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Total : 42.7%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Giulio Maggiore 6' goal
  • Costantino Favasuli 52' yellowcard
  • Lorenco Simic 89' goal
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 18'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 48'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 84'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 41' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Segre 61' yellowcard
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Maita 65'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 84'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Filippo Ranocchia 44' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 67' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 71' goal
  • Jacopo Segre 80' goal
  • Simon Graves 84' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gennaro Acampora 26'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 73'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Valerio Di Cesare 50' yellowcard
  • Mattia Maita 50' redcard
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 51' yellowcard
  • Valerio Di Cesare 66' redcard
  • Raffaele Maiello 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Benali 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Menez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Brenno 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marconi 24'
  • yellowcard Eugenio Corini 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Brunori 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 73'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 75'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 90'+10'
Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Ivan Marconi 82' goal