Serie B
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Lorenzo Dickmann 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marvin Cuni 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Cavuoti 63' yellowcard
  • Tomas Esteves 76' yellowcard
  • Christian Gytkjaer 76' yellowcard
  • Tomás Esteves 76' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremy Le Douaron 57'
  • goal Jérémy Le Douaron 57'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 67'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 70'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Corona 74'
  • yellowcard Joel Pohjanpalo 74'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszynski 74'
  • yellowcard Claudio Gomes 74'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszyński 74'
  • yellowcard Filippo Ranocchia 82'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 84'

Bari vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cesena 1 - 2 Bari
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.15pm
Modena 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.7%. A draw had a probability of 30.18% and a win for Bari had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Bari win it was 1-0 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Bari 27.09% (-0.08)
Draw 30.18% (+0.04)
Palermo 42.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.73% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.91% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 38.09% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 35.28% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.72% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 16.51% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 83.49% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 7.5% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.5% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bari 20.51%
Draw 46.57%
Palermo 32.92%

Team To Score First

Bari 34.53% (-0.02)
No Goal 12.75% (+0.06)
Palermo 52.72% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.96%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 32.28%
Over 9 44.13%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 44.04%
Over 10.5 33.24%
Under 10.5 66.76%

Bari Goals

Over 1.5 21.9% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.22% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.22% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.78% (+0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.31% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.01% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.28% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bari 27.1%
Draw 30.18%
Palermo 42.7%
Bari
1-0 @ 11.02% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Total : 27.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.75% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.18%
Palermo
0-1 @ 14.3% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Total : 42.7%

Head to Head

Serie B
Sep 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Giulio Maggiore 6' goal
  • Costantino Favasuli 52' yellowcard
  • Lorenco Simic 89' goal
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 18'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 48'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 84'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 41' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Segre 61' yellowcard
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Maita 65'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 84'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Filippo Ranocchia 44' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 67' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 71' goal
  • Jacopo Segre 80' goal
  • Simon Graves 84' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gennaro Acampora 26'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 73'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Valerio Di Cesare 50' yellowcard
  • Mattia Maita 50' redcard
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 51' yellowcard
  • Valerio Di Cesare 66' redcard
  • Raffaele Maiello 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Benali 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Menez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Brenno 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marconi 24'
  • yellowcard Eugenio Corini 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Brunori 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 73'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 75'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 90'+10'
Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Ivan Marconi 82' goal