Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2026 4.15pm
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.15pm
Calcio Padova 2 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Modena has a probability of 35.52% and a draw has a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Modena win is 1-0 (11.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.29%).

Result

Modena 35.52% (+0.25)
Draw 27.99% (+0.07)
Palermo 36.49% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.26% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.68%
Under 1.5 31.32%
Over 2.5 42.47% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.53% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.44% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.59% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.5% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.5% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Modena 27.42% (+0.02)
Draw 45.72% (+0.30)
Palermo 26.86% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Modena 43.39% (+0.29)
No Goal 9.22% (+0.05)
Palermo 47.39% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 51.87% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.88% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.25% (+0.22)
Over 9 40.31% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.56% (-0.05)
Under 9 48.13% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 29.98% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.02% (+0.07)

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 31.72% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 68.28% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 10.64% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 89.36% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 2.89% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.11% (-0.05)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 32.15% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 32.9% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 67.1% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 11.44% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.56% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.24% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.76% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Modena 35.51%
Draw 28.01%
Palermo 36.49%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.21% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.54% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.31% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.88% (+0.05)
Total : 35.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.22% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.01%
Palermo
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23% (-0.03)
Total : 36.49%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 12, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Claudio Gomes 25' yellowcard
  • Matteo Brunori 36' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 56' goal
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Dellavalle 63'
  • yellowcard Simone Santoro 88'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Simone Santoro 25' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Di Pardo 38' yellowcard
  • Ettore Gliozzi 48' goal
  • Mattia Caldara 85' goal
  • Giovanni Zaro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Valerio Verre 34'
  • goal Roberto Insigne 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 71'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 89'
Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Jacopo Segre 8' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 35' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Soleri 88' goal
  • Edoardo Soleri 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Ponsi 7'
  • yellowcard Luca Tremolada 22'
  • goal Thomas Battistella 31'
  • yellowcard Antonio Pergreffi 38'
  • goal Fabio Abiuso 59'
  • yellowcard Luca Strizzolo 76'
  • yellowcard Fabio Abiuso 84'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Shady Oukhadda 23' redcard
  • Jacopo Manconi 54' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Duca 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 44'
  • goal Liam Henderson 47'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Coulibaly 60'
  • yellowcard Federico Di Francesco 69'
  • goal Leonardo Mancuso 90'+3'
Serie B Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2023 7.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Gennaro Tutino 25' goal
  • Edoardo Soleri 47' goal
  • Valerio Verre 56' goal
  • Giuseppe Aurelio 59' goal
  • Luca Vido 79' goal
  • goal Luca Strizzolo 4'
  • goal Luca Strizzolo 30'