Serie B Gameweek 20
Palermo
Jan 18, 2026 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
Spezia
  • Jacopo Segre 1' goal
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 46' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 46' yellowcard
  • Jérémy Le Douaron 46' yellowcard
  • Patryk Peda 58' yellowcard
  • Claudio Gomes 77' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Corona 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Gianni Romano 61'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Romano 61'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Artistico 62'
  • yellowcard Daniele Verde 62'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Aurelio 68'
  • yellowcard Antonio Candela 84'

Palermo vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.13% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 52.14% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 26.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Spezia 21.73% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.48% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 30.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 43.16% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 56.84% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 21.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.57% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Palermo 37.4% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 43.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Spezia 18.73% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Palermo 59.01% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Spezia 32.4% ▼ (-0.35)

Corners

Over 8 58.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 30.18% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 9 47.11% ▼ (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 41.39% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 10.5 36.28% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 10.5 63.72% ▲ (+0.40)

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 44.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.3% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 93.7% ▼ (-0.10)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 56.05% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 43.95% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 21.11% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 78.89% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 5.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 94.62% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 1.17%
Under 3.5 98.83%

Score analysis

Palermo 52.13%
Draw 26.13%
Spezia 21.75%
Palermo
1-0 @ 14.17% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 52.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.13%
Spezia
0-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.75%

Head to Head

Serie B
Spezia
Oct 4, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Palermo
Serie B Gameweek 25
Spezia
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
Palermo
  • Ales Mateju 87' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 90'+2' goal
  • Giuseppe Aurelio 90'+5' goal
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 1'
  • yellowcard Rayyan Baniya 26'
  • yellowcard Matteo Brunori 29'
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 35'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 42'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 72'
Serie B Gameweek 15
Palermo
Dec 1, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
Spezia
  • Thomas Henry 13' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 26' yellowcard
  • Rayyan Baniya 35' goal
  • Filippo Ranocchia 41' yellowcard
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Wisniewski 64' goal
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 16'
  • yellowcard Salva Ferrer 26'
  • yellowcard Petko Hristov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ales Mateju 52'
Serie B Gameweek 36
Spezia
May 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
Palermo
  • Giuseppe Di Serio 16' goal
  • Salvatore Esposito 29' yellowcard
  • Luca Vignali 65' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Di Serio 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Ranocchia 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 87'
  • yellowcard Federico Di Francesco 90'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 90'+6'
Serie B Gameweek 10
Palermo
Oct 23, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
Spezia
  • Matteo Brunori 7' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Mancuso 73' goal
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 87' yellowcard
  • Leo Stulac 90'+14' goal
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 7'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Bertola 17'
  • goal Arkadiusz Reca 31'
  • yellowcard Bartlomiej Dragowski 57'
  • yellowcard Szymon Zurkowski 63'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 70'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Nikolaou 90'
  • redcard Nicolo Bertola 90'+12'
Serie B Gameweek 36
Palermo
May 1, 2019 11.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
Spezia
  • Mato Jajalo 32' goal
  • Stefano Moreo 40' goal
  • Nicolas Haas 61' yellowcard
  • Slobodan Rajkovic 70' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 83' yellowcard
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 30'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Mora 72'

Form Data

Mantova 0 - 0 Palermo
Palermo 1 - 0 Calcio Padova
Avellino 2 - 2 Palermo
Palermo 1 - 0 Sampdoria
Empoli 1 - 3 Palermo
Palermo 5 - 0 Carrarese
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Spezia
Spezia 2 - 1 Pescara
Frosinone 2 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 0 - 2 Modena
Virtus Entella 0 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria