Serie B Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2026 4.15pm
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw has a probability of 26.26% and a win for Spezia has a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a Spezia win it is 0-1 (7.91%).

Result

Palermo 51.81% (-0.06)
Draw 26.26% (+0.05)
Spezia 21.97% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.43% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.44% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.56% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 43.47% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.53% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.91% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.09% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.6% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Palermo 37.21% (-0.04)
Draw 43.95% (+0.05)
Spezia 18.84% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Palermo 58.66% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.6% (+0.01)
Spezia 32.74%

Corners

Over 8 59% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.16% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.84% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.52% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 9 41% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.68%
Under 10.5 63.32%

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 43.94% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 56.06% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.51% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.2% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.8% (+0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 56.38% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 43.62% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.17%
Under 3.5 98.83%

Score analysis

Palermo 51.81%
Draw 26.27%
Spezia 21.97%
Palermo
1-0 @ 14.1% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.19% (-0.03)
Total : 51.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.27%
Spezia
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.97%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 4, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 25
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Ales Mateju 87' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 90'+2' goal
  • Giuseppe Aurelio 90'+5' goal
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 1'
  • yellowcard Rayyan Baniya 26'
  • yellowcard Matteo Brunori 29'
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 35'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 42'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 72'
Serie B Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Thomas Henry 13' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 26' yellowcard
  • Rayyan Baniya 35' goal
  • Filippo Ranocchia 41' yellowcard
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Wisniewski 64' goal
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 16'
  • yellowcard Salva Ferrer 26'
  • yellowcard Petko Hristov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ales Mateju 52'
Serie B Gameweek 36
May 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Giuseppe Di Serio 16' goal
  • Salvatore Esposito 29' yellowcard
  • Luca Vignali 65' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Di Serio 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Ranocchia 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 87'
  • yellowcard Federico Di Francesco 90'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 90'+6'
Serie B Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Matteo Brunori 7' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Mancuso 73' goal
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 87' yellowcard
  • Leo Stulac 90'+14' goal
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 7'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Bertola 17'
  • goal Arkadiusz Reca 31'
  • yellowcard Bartlomiej Dragowski 57'
  • yellowcard Szymon Zurkowski 63'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 70'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Nikolaou 90'
  • redcard Nicolo Bertola 90'+12'
Serie B Gameweek 36
May 1, 2019 11.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Mato Jajalo 32' goal
  • Stefano Moreo 40' goal
  • Nicolas Haas 61' yellowcard
  • Slobodan Rajkovic 70' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 83' yellowcard
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 30'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Mora 72'