Serie B
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Nicolò Radaelli 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Buso 46' yellowcard
  • Davide Bragantini 60' yellowcard
  • Davide Bragantini 65' goal
  • Davide Bragantini 78' goal
  • Tommaso Maggioni 88' yellowcard
  • Davis Mensah 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tjas Begic 14'
  • yellowcard Fabio Depaoli 51'
  • yellowcard Antonín Barák 66'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Soleri 66'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Pio Riccio 66'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Pio Riccio 67'
  • yellowcard Massimo Coda 80'

Mantova vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 4.15pm
Catanzaro 2 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
Sampdoria 1 - 0 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tjas Begic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 38.1% (+0.04)
Draw 28.15% (-0.07)
Sampdoria 33.71% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.87% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.31% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 29.69% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 44.42% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 55.58% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 22.76% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.24% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 11.42% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.58% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Mantova 28.66%
Draw 46.21%
Sampdoria 25.13%

Team To Score First

Mantova 46.7% (+0.06)
No Goal 9.05% (-0.09)
Sampdoria 44.25% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.21% (-0.14)
Equal 8 12.11% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.68% (+0.12)
Over 9 42.21% (-0.12)
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 45.79% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 31.32% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 68.68% (+0.13)

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 35.05% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.95% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.58% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.42% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.63% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.37% (-0.02)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 66.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.15% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.82% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.18% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.93% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.07% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mantova 38.1%
Draw 28.16%
Sampdoria 33.71%
Mantova
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.62% (+0.03)
Total : 38.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.16%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Total : 33.71%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 2, 2025 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2025 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Salvatore Burrai 48' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Mancuso 50' goal
  • Simone Trimboli 53' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 9'
  • goal Fabio Depaoli 22'
  • goal Fabio Depaoli 24'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bellemo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marco Curto 51'
  • yellowcard Pietro Beruatto 67'
Serie B Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Lorenzo Venuti 18' yellowcard
  • Pajtim Kasami 61' goal
  • Alessandro Pio Riccio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Redolfi 8'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Burrai 58'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Bani 88'
  • yellowcard Francesco Galuppini 88'
  • yellowcard Mattia Aramu 90'