Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.93% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.