Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 34.51%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 31.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (12.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.