Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
Carrarese 3 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Pietro Pellegri

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.15pm
Modena 0 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Modena win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw has a probability of 28.62% and a win for Empoli has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13%) , while for a Empoli win it is 1-0 (9.35%).

Result

Empoli 25.01% (-0.03)
Draw 28.62% (-0.04)
Modena 46.4% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.76% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.47% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 33.53% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 39.9% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 60.1% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 19.76% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 80.24% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.59% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 90.41% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Empoli 18.15%
Draw 45.47%
Modena 36.38%

Team To Score First

Empoli 29.09% (+0.02)
No Goal 10.47% (-0.04)
Modena 60.44% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.4%
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 33.61%
Over 9 42.5%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 45.6%
Over 10.5 31.67%
Under 10.5 68.33%

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 22.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.23% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.4% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.6% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.67% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.95% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.05% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 15.15% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.85% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.57% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Empoli 25.02%
Draw 28.62%
Modena 46.39%
Empoli
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.2%
3-2 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Total : 25.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.62%
Modena
0-1 @ 13.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 9.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.32% (+0.03)
Total : 46.39%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 24, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT